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Geo-Politics of Artificial Intelligence

The emergence of Artificial Intelligence has changed the course of human life and geo-politics is one such aspect of its growing power and manifestation in the world. The intensive global competition of AI has intersected with great-power rivalry, military competition, economic statecraft, and competing models of governance and these dynamics are shaping its development and use. There are some primary key drivers playing critical role

By @SRI · · 5 min read

Geo-Politics of Artificial Intelligence

The emergence of Artificial Intelligence has changed the course of human life and geo-politics is one such aspect of its growing power and manifestation in the world. The intensive global competition of AI has intersected with great-power rivalry, military competition, economic statecraft, and competing models of governance and these dynamics are shaping its development and use. There are some primary key drivers playing critical role in the geopolitics of AI including, hardware and chips which are significant in controlling the leading role of AI capability. Second driver is energy and data centers, the higher amount of power supply is crucial for AI models, third driver is supply chain, the rival states impose export band and sanctions against each other to slow the advancements and lastly, the data sovereignty is also an emerging pillar for which states restrict the data flow from other states to protect the domestic security as well as due to the fear that allowing cross border data could expose them to surveillance or foreign leverage, entwining technology with national security. The geopolitics of AI is driven by main three models, such as the market driven model of the United States based on the innovation and defense partnerships. The China’s model is a state directed, large scale industrial project. Meanwhile, the third is European Union’s model based on the ethics, and public accountability. Data centers have been transformed into the battlegrounds due to their role in the critical infrastructure of the global digital economy. These centers handle over 95% of the world’s internet traffic, underpinning everything from streaming video to cloud AI services. Data centers have become the power plant hubs and are strategic assets. Nonetheless, the United States hosts roughly 51% of the world’s data centers that shows American digital dominance and the reliance of other countries on its clouds. While promoting the race in the regions to build up their own data center capacity and to secure the data. According to the scholars of techno-nationalism, the technological innovation and superiority are essential elements of power, economic competence and national security. They often point out the ‘‘digital cold war’’ between the United States and China. As both the states develop, control and protect the critical technologies and do not rely on the foreign technological suppliers. Therefore, the US impose the restrictions on AI chips to China. However, in the light of offensive realism of John Mearsheimer, it can be observed that states are always competing for power due to the fear of lagging behind and anarchic system, therefore, military and strategic capabilities are the main derivers behind the geo-political competitionThe Artificial Intelligence’s strategic implications include its critical role in altering military operations, economic productivity, alliance structures, and deterrence, while also creating new challenges of instability, escalation, and misuse. Alongside, the geopolitical competition, AI is influencing technological innovation. The rival powers are shaping research priorities, regulatory approaches, and international norms and are determining whether AI to be a source of cooperation, coercion, or conflict. AI has generated a crisis of governance, control, and the balance between innovation and restraint. Therefore, emerging technologies are reshaping global order. Data centers have become those wheels which are shaping the industrial policy. China Telecom’s Inner Mongolia Information Park, Switch’s Citadel in Nevada, the NSA’s Utah Data Center, and Stockholm’s bomb-shelter-turned-server-hub, Pionen are the world’s most famous data centers. Similarly, emerging economies think data centers as the bedrock of future growth and want big tech firms to set up regional hubs for economic as well as digital purposes. For example, India hosts the regional data centers of Amazon, Google Cloud, Oracle Cloud etcHence, geopolitics of AI exposes the data center industry to the supply chains disputes. It has the power to choke off access to the new processors used to operate modern data centers. Trade wars and tech rivalry between the US and China has marked the AI as an element of national power and are marshalling state resources to secure it. There is a fragmented global tech ecosystem. The US allies in Europe and Asia are pressurized to choose sides or split their supply chains. This is shaping the new tech alliances such as the “Chip 4” alliance which include, the US, Japan, Taiwan and South Korea for coordination of semiconductor strategy. World AI Cooperation Organization (WAICO) is an intergovernmental body for AI was announced by China & 29 countries on 16thJuly, 2026 to promote international cooperation and global governance in artificial intelligence. It was pledged to counter “new historical injustices” from unequal access to the technology by helping developing nations build AI capabilities. Additionally, the WAICO is also to counter the US’s Pax Silica by sharing AI technology and expertise with countries across the Global south & leading global efforts to create standards governing the emerging technology. Nonetheless, on August 2, 2026, adopted a new rule book for AI to protect the European individuals’ rights along with the ban on predictive policing, emotion recognition systems in workplaces or schools and AI that manipulates human behavior. EU will fine up to 7% of a company’s annual worldwide turnover or €35 million ($40m) in case if any AI Company is found breaking the law. This raises the stakes for American AI companies such asOpenAI,AnthropicandGooglesubsequently, creating new tensions between Washington and Brussels. Europe is pushing fortechsovereignty, recently$1billionfineagainstGooglehas prompted President Donald Trump to threaten the EU with tariffs. Therefore, European Union’s AI rules and enforcement are causing the geo-political issues for the US AI companies. It is concluded that Artificial Intelligence is shaping the geopolitics from North to South emerging as a tool for power to control the international system. It is the main driver behind the rise of the Middle Power states that has redefined the concepts of battlegrounds and threat perspectives.

Source: sri.org.pk

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